Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Gallup: GOP has UNPRECEDENTED 10-Point Lead!

How about some good news for a change? From Gallup:

The last Gallup weekly generic ballot average before Labor Day underscores the fast-evolving conventional wisdom that the GOP is poised to make significant gains in this fall's midterm congressional elections. Gallup's generic ballot has historically proven an excellent predictor of the national vote for Congress, and the national vote in turn is an excellent predictor of House seats won and lost. Republicans' presumed turnout advantage, combined with their current 10-point registered-voter lead, suggests the potential for a major "wave" election in which the Republicans gain a large number of seats from the Democrats and in the process take back control of the House. One cautionary note: Democrats moved ahead in Gallup's generic ballot for several weeks earlier this summer, showing that change is possible between now and Election Day.



  1. Gene do you think this can even bode well for Bob Turner?

  2. Eh, your guess is as good as mine. The Turner campaign should feel good about these prospects, but Brooklyn Republicans have to work three times as hard as the normal Republican just to break even.

  3. Can we do it, Gene? I am excited about Turner's candidacy, I think he's got a shot, McCain did pretty well in the 9th.