Sunday, March 11, 2012

Source: Upstate "Deal" For Ousted County Exec? WHAT ABOUT BOB?!?

Late-minute wheelin' and dealin' over Congressional lines are focused on helping create a seat for former Erie Executive Chris Collins (top l.) at the expense of Reps. Richard Hanna (top r.), Tom Reed (bottom l.) & Ann Marie Buerkle (bottom r.), according to a reliable source.  Brooklyn GOP Radio wonders out loud - WHAT ABOUT BOB?!?
With Brooklyn GOP Radio moving up in the world since CPAC, Russell and I get lots of calls with "tips" from anonymous sources.  Some just want to see where the information goes, while others have credible information that they want to see break.  I believe this latest tip falls within the latter category.  

As I write this, party power-brokers are meeting to horse trade with each other on the final version of the Congressional lines.  According to my source, who has always been reliable when it comes to Congressional news, the latest controversy surrounds possible Congressional seats that would split Erie County between two different Congressional districts - one strongly Republican, one Democratic - at the expense of three incumbent Republican members of Congress.  

The new seat's intended beneficiary?  Chris Collins, the former Erie County Executive who was once a rising star in the party  and once considered a notable name for the 2010 Gubernatorial nomination before he compared Shelly Silver to Adolf Hitler and thereafter lost his own seat.  

As this scenario goes, this new seat will take strong parts of the current districts represented by Republican Reps. Richard Hanna, Ann Marie Buerkle and Tom Reed to create an R+10 seat (based on the Cook Political Report scale) for Collins.  Reed's seat would be particularly weakened from R+6 to R+3, possibly putting the popular up-and-coming legislator's seat at risk.  For those who don't remember, Congressman Tom Reed, a freshman Congressman whom Politico labeled as "Most Likely To Succeed", won an open seat in 2010 to replace Eric Massa.  

Why is this Brooklyn news, you might ask?

Well, this may be only one man's opinion, but instead of looking to create a seat for a former upstate executive with a past record of losing it on bigger stages at the expense of incumbent Republican members of Congress, maybe the powers-that-be should be spending more time trying to... I don't know, just spitballin' here... safeguarding the seat of Congressman Bob Turner, who rocked the nation with his upset victory over the New York City Democratic machine and became a national symbol for Republicans  and gave a new blueprint of how to defeat not only President Obama  but down-ballot Dems who can be tied to his failed policies?  How 'bout that, people?

Let's take the Brooklyn "spin" off of this and look at the bigger state-wide picture:  

Why weaken three sitting Republicans - and one popular freshman legislator at that -  to help a defeated, polarizing personality like Collins? Granted, Chris Collins lost his County Executive seat as a result of the strength of the Democrats in Buffalo and won virtually everywhere else in the county, but if it ain't broke, what's to fix?  

Hopefully, a "real" reporter can take my source's information and run it up the flag pole - I'd be very interested to see who salutes it.  But we'll keep on top of matters as they progress.  

1 comment:

  1. UPDATE: Here are some "Crack Staff" Facts About Erie County for some perspective:

    -Democrats outnumber Republicans nearly 2 to 1 (288,000 Democrats to 153,000 Republicans)

    -Represented by GOP State Senators Mark Grisanti, Michael Razenhofer, George Mazizarz, and Patrick Gallivan.

    -Currently makes up of part of three Congressional districts: Tom Reed, Brian Higgins, and Louise Slaughter.

    -Chris Jacobs former secretary of New York State is current Erie County clerk.

    -President Obama carried Erie County 59-41. On flip side, Carl Paladino and Dan Donovan carried Erie County.

    -Erie County is trending Democrat as a whole. In 1996, there were 174,000 Republicans and 291,000 Democrats. But overall, population loss is considerable, leading to Congressional districts to be either merged or eliminated.

    -On the flip side, Southern Brooklyn (Turner's District) is voting and enrolling Republican. McCain carried Southern Brooklyn by a larger margin than President Bush.